Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
0 - 2
Celtic

FT(HT: 0-1)

Furuhashi (15'), Maeda (53')
Palma (44'), Bernabei (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between St Mirren and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Dundee
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic are certainly not operating at their best levels in recent weeks and meet a St Mirren side who are gaining momentum, but Rodgers still has an abundance of quality in his ranks, even with several notable absentees, and they should have more than enough to advance to the final eight nonetheless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Celtic in this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Celtic
9.59% ( 0.21)	15.4% ( 0.62)	75.01% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 50.48% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.55% (

-2.48)

35.44% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.52% (

-2.8)

57.48% (

2.79)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.85% (

-1.34)

45.15% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.95% (

-1.08)

81.05% (

1.08)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03% (

-0.75)

7.97% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.87% (

-1.92)

28.12% (

1.91)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 9.59%

Celtic 75.01%

Draw 15.4%

St Mirren	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.59%	1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.43) Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.4%	0-2 @ 11.51% ( 0.59) 0-3 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.78) 1-3 @ 7.72% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 6.14% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 4.88% ( -0.31) 0-5 @ 3.11% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 1-5 @ 2.47% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.2) 0-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.14) 1-6 @ 1.04% ( -0.15) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.88% Total : 75.01%