Ayr have already picked up a victory against a Scottish Premiership side on their travels this season after beating St Johnstone 2-1 in the group stage of the Scottish League Cup. However, they have lost their last two matches against Livingston in the competition, and we think that the hosts will do enough to progress to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Ayr United
51.4% ( -0.02)	24.48% ( 0)	24.12% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

0.01)

49.32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

71.37% (

-0)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

-0.01)

19.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

-0.01)

50.85% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02% (

0.02)

34.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

0.02)

71.72% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Livingston 51.39%

Ayr United 24.12%

Draw 24.47%

Livingston	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.12%