Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
0 - 2
Hibernian

Rubezic (26'), Shinnie (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

le Fondre (75'), Doidge (80')
Jeggo (17'), Campbell (32'), Hanlon (51'), Newell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hacken
Thursday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Hibernian
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aberdeen 3-0 Hibernian

Both teams will likely see this as a perfect opportunity to secure their first victory of the season considering the poor start that each has had, but it is the hosts who will be the favourites. Hibernian's poor defensive record is a major concern for them, and that is something that should lead to Aberdeen taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Hibernian
45.28% ( 2.14)	24.39% ( -0.42)	30.32% ( -1.73)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

1.14)

44.6% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

1.09)

66.96% (

-1.1)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

1.42)

19.82% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.09% (

2.25)

51.9% (

-2.25)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-0.56)

27.76% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.72)

63.33% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 45.28%

Hibernian 30.32%

Draw 24.39%

Aberdeen	Draw	Hibernian
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.12) Other @ 3% Total : 45.28%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.32%