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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

Hatate (22'), Palma (33'), Taylor (82')
Taylor (68'), Scales (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watson (72')
Mayo (28'), Vassell (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-2 Lazio
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock might have picked up a surprise victory when they last faced the Hoops, but it is unlikely that will take place this time. Celtic have been too strong for most teams this season, particularly offensively, and that should be the case this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
75.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 15.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 9.85% (0.0040999999999993 0)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)54.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.3% (0.0061 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)26.41% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 75.13%
    Kilmarnock 9.85%
    Draw 15.03%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 75.13%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.03%
1-2 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
1-0
Celtic
Watkins (59')
Watkins (52'), Findlay (67'), Watson (77')

McGregor (50'), Ralston (68')
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
1-4
Celtic
Donnelly (45')
Furuhashi (7'), Maeda (12'), O'Riley (18', 27')
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Maeda (18'), Giakoumakis (90+5')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 3
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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