Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16

Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 0
Livingston

McCowan (57')
Shaughnessy (6'), McCowan (12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lloyd (47'), Kelly (56'), Nottingham (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dundee 0-0 Livingston

Both sides are among the lowest scorers in the division, with neither yet in double figures, and another drab affair could be on the cards after both were well below par in midweek. The reverse fixture last weekend was looking certain to end 0-0 until Montano's late red card changed everything, leading to Shaughnessy's two late goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Livingston
58.84% ( 0.41)	21.89% ( 0.23)	19.27% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

-1.95)

43.97% (

1.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

-1.92)

66.36% (

1.92)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

-0.52)

14.61% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.29% (

-1)

42.71% (

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34% (

-1.79)

36.66% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55% (

-1.84)

73.45% (

1.84)

Score Analysis

Dundee 58.84%

Livingston 19.27%

Draw 21.88%

Dundee	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.84%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.27%