Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Hearts

McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-4 Stirling
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: St Johnstone 0-2 Hearts

Hearts won all three meetings between the sides last season - scoring nine - and enter this fixture as favourites once again. St Johnstone need a response after being humbled by lower-league opposition in the League Cup, but they may find it tough against Steven Naismith's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
29.67% ( -1.42)	26.62% ( 0.01)	43.71% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.73% (

-0.56)

54.27% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.47)

75.67% (

0.47)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

-1.32)

33.15% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

-1.48)

69.75% (

1.48)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

0.46)

24.66% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82% (

0.64)

59.18% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 29.67%

Hearts 43.71%

Draw 26.61%

St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.71%