Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Kilmarnock

Although both of these teams have been producing contrasting form of late, we still anticipate a competitive fixture. However, Kilmarnock are the favourites for a reason and they should have enough to edge this contest, perhaps by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
38.71% ( -0.07)	26.28% ( -0.01)	35.01% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

0.05)

51.47% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

0.04)

73.27% (

-0.04)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

-0.02)

26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

-0.02)

61.03% (

0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.07)

28.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.09)

63.82% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 38.71%

Kilmarnock 35.01%

Draw 26.27%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.71%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.01%