Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
We said: St Mirren 2-1 Motherwell
St Mirren have already claimed two competitive victories over Motherwell this season, and after they restored some belief with a win over St Johnstone last weekend, we think that the hosts will claim a narrow victory against a Motherwell side that is low on confidence.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.74% . A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.23%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.21%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood .
Result St Mirren Draw Motherwell 49.74% ( 0.03) 26.06% ( -0.01) 24.2% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.94% ( 0.02)
44.57% ( 0.03) 55.42% ( -0.03)
23.38% ( 0.03) 76.62% ( -0.02)
77.67% ( 0.02) 22.33% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.19% ( 0.03) 55.81% ( -0.03)
61.72% ( 0.01) 38.27% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.97% ( 0.01) 75.03% ( -0.01)
St Mirren 49.73%
Motherwell 24.2%
Draw 26.05%
St Mirren Draw Motherwell 1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.73% 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.05% 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 24.2%
How you voted: St Mirren vs Motherwell
5
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 04:10:29
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