Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amorebieta would win this match.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
41.45% ( 0.02)	28.14% ( -0.01)	30.41% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.31% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4% (

0.01)

59.59% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

0.01)

79.93% (

-0.01)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

0.02)

28.3% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

0.02)

64.03% (

-0.03)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

-0.01)

35.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82% (

-0.01)

72.17% (

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 41.45%

Racing Club de Ferrol 30.4%

Draw 28.13%

Amorebieta	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.45%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.4%