Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Pasalic (45+1'), Lookman (46')
Scalvini (16')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kiriakopoulos (41')
Kiriakopoulos (21'), Pinamonti (24'), Thorstvedt (30'), Marco Ferrari (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Sassuolo

Atalanta are the only side yet to trail in any of their games during this Serie A season, so Sassuolo have their work cut out to take the initiative on Saturday night. Both teams have markedly improved at the back this term, too, which could lead to a tightly-contested home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Sassuolo
60.86% ( 0.03)	20.62% ( -0.01)	18.52% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

0.03)

39.33% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

0.03)

61.67% (

-0.04)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.49% (

0.02)

12.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.49% (

0.04)

38.51% (

-0.04)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

-0)

34.73% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

-0)

71.46% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 60.86%

Sassuolo 18.52%

Draw 20.62%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 60.86%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.52%