Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 18, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
0 - 2
Juventus

Dominguez (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morata (6'), Cuadrado (69')
McKennie (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having lost two of their last three home games, Bologna have seen their hopes of turning Dall'Ara into a fortress diminished, and their record on Emilian soil is set to be dented further by another defeat on Saturday. Neither of these sides are prolific scorers, but Juve's attacking threat is the more heavyweight of the two - if still only intermittently effective - which should swing the result their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.45%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Juventus
22.07%	21.48%	56.45%

Both teams to score 60.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76%

38.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.48%

60.52%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.91%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.55%

13.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.56%

40.44%

Score Analysis

Bologna 22.07%

Juventus 56.45%

Draw 21.48%

Bologna	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 5.78% 1-0 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.83% Total : 22.07%	1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.48%	1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.29% 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.45%