Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Monza

Cabral (19')
Julio (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Augusto (61')
Birindelli (86'), Pepin (88'), Petagna (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza

Despite missing arguably their most talented forward in the shape of Gonzalez, we expect Fiorentina to edge an entertaining encounter on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Monza
65.87% ( 0.06)	18.7% ( 0.09)	15.43% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 57.24% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.01% (

-0.72)

35.99% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.91% (

-0.8)

58.09% (

0.8)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

-0.18)

10.2% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.52% (

-0.42)

33.48% (

0.43)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

-0.63)

36.26% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96% (

-0.65)

73.04% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 65.87%

Monza 15.43%

Draw 18.7%

Fiorentina	Draw	Monza
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.87%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.7%	1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 15.43%