Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
5 - 0
Sampdoria

Castrovilli (45+2'), Dodo (62'), Duncan (66'), Kouame (76'), Terzic (88')
Kouame (81'), Terzic (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murillo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Cremonese
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria

These sides have drawn none of their last seven Serie A meetings, and that trend could continue on Sunday evening as Fiorentina get back to winning ways. Samp's weak attack and terrible away record suggests that they cannot overcome the Viola's challenge, so another defeat awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Sampdoria
77.73% ( -0.12)	14.61% ( 0.05)	7.66% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.35% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.4% (

0.06)

38.6% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.1% (

0.07)

60.9% (

-0.07)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.89% (

-0.01)

8.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.51% (

-0.03)

28.49% (

0.03)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.27% (

0.24)

51.73% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.17% (

0.16)

85.83% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 77.72%

Sampdoria 7.66%

Draw 14.61%

Fiorentina	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.72%	1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.61%	0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.66%