Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Hellas Verona

Ikone (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Mandragora (23'), Amrabat (32'), Bonaventura (58'), Barak (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coppola (25'), Henry (34'), Hien (46'), Gunter (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Empoli	7	-1	7
14	Fiorentina	6	-1	6
15	Lecce	7	-2	6

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	7	-3	6
17	Hellas Verona	6	-5	5
18	Cremonese	6	-5	2

We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Hellas Verona

With Fiorentina missing so many key defenders, we can envisage plenty of goals in Florence on Sunday. The visitors have been in poor form of late but they may relish facing an out of sorts back line, so we can see a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
62.69% ( 0.86)	21.06% ( -0.38)	16.25% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.69% (

0.81)

45.31% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35% (

0.77)

67.65% (

-0.77)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

0.53)

13.85% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.77% (

1.03)

41.23% (

-1.03)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

-0.11)

40.97% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

-0.1)

77.53% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 62.67%

Hellas Verona 16.25%

Draw 21.06%

Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.67%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.25%