Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Genoa and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Although Milan have been far from their best in recent days, the opportunity to take on Genoa should present them with a straightforward three points to steady the ship a little, before greater tests to come. A distinct lack of goal threat from the hosts should embolden their more illustrious visitors, who have scored goals from numerous sources this term and will find a way through at least once over the course of 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
20.75%	22.14%	57.11%

Both teams to score 55.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.62%

65.38%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43%

34.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.71%

71.29%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17%

14.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86%

43.14%

Score Analysis

Genoa 20.75%

AC Milan 57.11%

Draw 22.13%

Genoa	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.52% 1-0 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.75%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 6.31% 0-3 @ 5.94% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 3.01% 0-4 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.79% Total : 57.11%