Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Lazio

Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Banda (5'), Baroni (36'), Gallo (48'), Hjulmand (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Immobile (14')
Casale (37'), Cancellieri (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, November 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-2 Lazio
Tuesday, December 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Given the level of their wins before the World Cup, Lecce will be eager to build on their growing momentum in the race to avoid relegation. However, Lazio would have been happy to have a break from action, and a refreshed side should have too much in the final third for their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Lazio
31.95% ( 0.06)	27.22% ( 0)	40.83% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.19% (

0.01)

55.81% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06% (

0.01)

76.93% (

-0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

0.05)

32.31% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

0.06)

68.81% (

-0.06)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-0.03)

26.85% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83% (

-0.04)

62.16% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Lecce 31.95%

Lazio 40.82%

Draw 27.21%

Lecce	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.82%