Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
3 - 2
Udinese

Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Jesus (25'), Rui (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Walace (27'), Pereyra (37'), Ebosse (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Empoli
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Udinese
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli are seeking their ninth straight home win in all competitions, and an Udinese side that could not maintain their magnificent start are not best placed to stop them. Such is the hosts' firepower, they can score goals from all quarters of a talented squad and will ultimately break down well-drilled opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Udinese
67.93% ( -0.27)	18.8% ( 0.1)	13.27% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.59% (

-0.06)

41.42% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.19% (

-0.06)

63.81% (

0.06)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

-0.09)

11.2% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.29% (

-0.19)

35.71% (

0.2)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.3% (

0.23)

42.7% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.96% (

0.2)

79.04% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Napoli 67.92%

Udinese 13.27%

Draw 18.8%

Napoli	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 67.92%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.8%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.27%