Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 2
AC Milan

Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	AC Milan
51.98%	22.79%	25.24%

Both teams to score 59.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13%

40.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74%

63.27%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18%

15.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.02%

44.99%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51%

29.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5%

65.5%

Score Analysis

Roma 51.98%

AC Milan 25.24%

Draw 22.79%

Roma	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.98%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 6.41% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.24%