Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 5, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 0
Genoa

Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')

Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Although Genoa's winless run must eventually end, the likelihood of that happening at the Olimpico this week is minimal - even with a number of fresh faces to provide new attacking options. Roma really must take advantage of a clear opportunity to take three more points on home turf, and their final-third quality will prove the difference on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Genoa
76.95%	15.26%	7.78%

Both teams to score 42.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65%

41.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25%

63.75%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.06%

8.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.47%

30.52%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.69%

53.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.15%

86.85%

Score Analysis

Roma 76.93%

Genoa 7.78%

Draw 15.26%

Roma	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 13.89% 1-0 @ 11.5% 3-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 4.25% 5-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.93%	1-1 @ 7.24% 0-0 @ 4.77% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 15.26%	0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 2.28% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.56% Total : 7.78%