Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 0
Lazio

Mkhitaryan (42'), Pedro (78')
Peres (16'), Santon (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Acerbi (23')
Acerbi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lazio
50.07%	23.02%	26.91%

Both teams to score 60.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52%

40.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14%

62.86%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65%

16.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.04%

45.96%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32%

63.68%

Score Analysis

Roma 50.07%

Lazio 26.91%

Draw 23.01%

Roma	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.07%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 6.71% 0-1 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.57% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.91%