Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Monza

Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pepin (20'), Santos (40'), Ciurria (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Torino	3	2	7
6	Roma	3	2	7
7	Inter Milan	3	2	6

Monza

Last Six:

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Friday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Sampdoria	3	-6	1
19	Cremonese	3	-3	0
20	Monza	3	-6	0

With a certain amount of Serie A experience offering hope of breaking through Roma's so-far steady defence, Monza can score on their first top-flight trip to the Olimpico - but their chances of taking a point are slimmer. The hosts appear more battle-hardened this season, so should do enough to seize a single-goal win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Monza
68.88% ( 0.31)	19.57% ( -0.11)	11.55% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 43.2% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.09% (

-0.03)

48.91% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29% (

-0.03)

71% (

0.03)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

0.08)

13.12% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.23% (

0.16)

39.76% (

-0.16)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.72% (

-0.37)

50.28% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.15% (

-0.26)

84.85% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Roma 68.87%

Monza 11.55%

Draw 19.57%

Roma	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 68.87%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.57%	0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 11.55%