Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Jul 16, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
3 - 0
Genoa

Bremer (32'), Lukic (76'), Belotti (90')
Lyanco (53'), Zaza (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Masiello (23'), Goldaniga (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A encounter between Torino and Genoa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Genoa
37.35%	25.33%	37.32%

Both teams to score 56.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83%

47.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.59%

69.41%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66%

59.34%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22%

24.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64%

59.36%

Score Analysis

Torino 37.35%

Genoa 37.32%

Draw 25.33%

Torino	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.32%