Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 15, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
0 - 1
Juventus

Linetty (60'), Lazaro (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vlahovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Mole between Torino and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Juventus are clearly vulnerable, Torino perhaps lack the tools to take full advantage and the weight of history bears heavily on their shoulders. The Turin derby is therefore set to be an attritional affair, in which a low-scoring Juve win is the likeliest result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Juventus
46.71% ( -0)	27.11% ( 0)	26.18% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.74% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.14% (

57.86% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.42% (

78.58% (

-0)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22% (

24.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.65% (

59.35%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.14% (

37.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36% (

74.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Torino 46.71%

Juventus 26.18%

Draw 27.11%

Torino	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.71%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 26.18%