Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
Celje	Draw	NS Mura
47.93% ( 0.1)	24.19% ( 0.15)	27.87% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86% (

-0.84)

45.13% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

-0.81)

67.48% (

0.8)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.06% (

-0.29)

18.94% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.55% (

-0.48)

50.45% (

0.48)

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0.61)

29.73% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

-0.75)

65.79% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Celje 47.93%

NS Mura 27.87%

Draw 24.19%

Celje	Draw	NS Mura
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.25% Total : 47.93%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.87%