Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34

May 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
0 - 1
St Gallen

Grgic (45+1'), Valenzuela (66'), Vonmoos (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Witzig (44')
Quintilla (58'), Stanic (85'), Vonmoos (95')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and St Gallen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Lausanne
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Gallen

All competitions

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-1 St Gallen
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	St Gallen
46.15% ( 0.3)	24.54% ( -0.12)	29.3% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

0.42)

45.81% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

0.4)

68.13% (

-0.41)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

0.3)

19.95% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

0.48)

52.1% (

-0.49)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

0.09)

29.06% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

0.11)

64.97% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Lugano 46.15%

St Gallen 29.3%

Draw 24.53%

Lugano	Draw	St Gallen
1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.3%