With both sides likely to rotate heavily, it could be quite a low-key affair, with the visitors set to focus on their promotion push from the second tier. The task is rather straightforward for Benfica, all they have to do is avoid a two-goal defeat, but they should stroll to a relatively comfortable victory here on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 7.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for an AVS win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	AVS
79.4% ( -0.09)	12.88% ( 0.05)	7.71% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.79% (

-0.07)

29.21% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.77% (

-0.09)

50.23% (

0.09)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.25% (

-0.03)

5.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.83% (

-0.09)

22.17% (

0.09)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3% (

0.05)

44.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.31% (

0.04)

80.69% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Benfica 79.4%

AVS 7.71%

Draw 12.88%

Benfica	Draw	AVS
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 4.56% Total : 79.4%	1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.88%	1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.71%