Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 2, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

(Sporting Lisbon win 4-3 on aggregate)

Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon

We expect this match to be a very tight affair as both sides have several quality players that should cancel each other out. There is a feeling that both sides will be cautious and smart with their approach given that they will face off in the league once again on Saturday. We are calling a draw but both sides should find the net in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
53.77% ( -0.05)	22.75% ( 0.03)	23.48% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53% (

-0.07)

42.47% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.12% (

-0.07)

64.88% (

0.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

-0.04)

15.77% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.11% (

-0.08)

44.89% (

0.09)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

-0.01)

31.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.77% (

-0.01)

68.23% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Benfica 53.77%

Sporting Lisbon 23.48%

Draw 22.75%

Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.77%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.48%