Shakhtar

3 - 0

Chornomorets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.