Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22

Mar 31, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
1 - 5
Dynamo Kiev

Kovtalyuk (83')
Chelyadin (66')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vanat (30'), Brazhko (45+2'), Shaparenko (47' pen., 77'), Yarmolenko (78')
Tymchyk (39'), Syrota (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions

Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-0 Vorskla
Friday, March 15 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Luhansk
Tuesday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
18.84% ( 0.17)	22.58% ( 0.2)	58.58% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 51.11% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-0.61)

47.57% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-0.56)

69.77% (

0.57)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.78% (

-0.17)

39.22% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.07% (

-0.16)

75.93% (

0.16)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

-0.33)

15.92% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84% (

-0.61)

45.17% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Vorskla Poltava 18.84%

Dynamo Kiev 58.57%

Draw 22.58%

Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.84%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.57%