Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Boston River
0 - 1
Penarol

Fernandez (10'), Gutierrez (33'), Zunino (84'), Zunino (90+4'), Alexander Riasco Brizuela (90+5'), Alexander Riasco Brizuela (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arezo (52')
Arezo (2'), Sosa (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Boston River
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Penarol

All competitions

Last Game: Penarol 2-2 La Luz
Sunday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Penarol
23.91% ( -0.18)	26.65% ( -0.02)	49.44% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.23% (

-0.08)

57.77% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.49% (

-0.07)

78.51% (

0.06)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.14% (

-0.22)

39.86% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.47% (

-0.2)

76.53% (

0.2)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

0.05)

23.47% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

0.08)

57.48% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Boston River 23.91%

Penarol 49.44%

Draw 26.65%

Boston River	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.91%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 13.56% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.44%