Danubio

4 - 0

Maldonado

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.