Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Feb 25, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
2 - 2
Penarol

Balboa (11'), Navarro (90+9' pen.)
Ferrari (36'), Elizari (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arezo (41'), Rossi (74' og.)
Menosse (62'), Sanchez (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Defensor 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, February 19 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Penarol

All competitions

Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Boston River
Monday, February 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Penarol
24.58% ( -0.02)	27.27% ( -0)	48.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.98% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

-0.01)

59.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

-0)

79.81% (

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82% (

-0.02)

40.18% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.18% (

-0.02)

76.82% (

0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.01)

24.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

0.01)

59.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 24.58%

Penarol 48.14%

Draw 27.27%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.58%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 13.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.14%