Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2023 at 1pm UK

Parque Capurro

Fenix
1 - 1
Wanderers

Pereira (19')
Vega (26'), Nunez (76'), Sebastian da Silva Mattos (85'), Gabrielli (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Viudez (88')
Garcia (1'), Fonseca (83'), Costa (89'), Cerro (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenix

All competitions

Last Game: Fenix 0-1 Penarol
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 3-0 Danubio
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Fenix	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
37.22% ( -0.21)	28.61% ( -0.01)	34.16% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 45.9% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.46% (

0.06)

60.54% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.35% (

0.04)

80.65% (

-0.04)

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

-0.1)

31.25% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4% (

-0.12)

67.6% (

0.12)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

0.18)

33.23% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.15% (

0.2)

69.84% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Fenix 37.22%

Montevideo Wanderers 34.16%

Draw 28.6%

Fenix	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.16%