Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Oct 8, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
Defensor

Trezza (34')
Rodriguez (58'), Laborda (72'), Candido (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Elizari (46')
Balboa (25'), Camargo (63'), Rossi (64'), Freitas (70'), Duarte (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Fenix 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, October 1 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Albion
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Defensor Sporting
49.27% ( -1.99)	27.99% ( 0.41)	22.74% ( 1.58)

Both teams to score 41.49% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.98% (

-0.06)

63.02% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.52% (

-0.04)

82.48% (

0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

-0.96)

25.88% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

-1.32)

60.86% (

1.33)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.98% (

1.61)

44.02% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86% (

1.29)

80.14% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Nacional 49.26%

Defensor Sporting 22.74%

Draw 27.99%

Nacional	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.92% Total : 49.26%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.74%