Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Oct 24, 2023 at 12.15am UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 3
Maldonado

Zabala (15')
Fagundez (28'), Galeano (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

de Leon (40', 61'), Spinelli (85')
Fernandez (8'), Cayetano (33'), de Leon (62'), Cartagena (66'), Alfaro (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Nacional
Friday, October 20 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 River Plate
Thursday, October 19 at 6.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
65.92% ( 0.75)	21.62% ( -0.23)	12.46% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 40.1% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

-0.17)

54.75% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0.14)

76.06% (

0.14)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

0.19)

15.92% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.82% (

0.35)

45.17% (

-0.35)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.69% (

-0.97)

52.31% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.79% (

-0.64)

86.2% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Nacional 65.92%

Deportivo Maldonado 12.46%

Draw 21.62%

Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 15.3% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 65.92%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.1% Total : 12.46%