Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Aug 28, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 1
Danubio

Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Danubio
47.02% ( 0.14)	29.15% ( -0.11)	23.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 39.78% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.27% (

0.28)

65.73% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.6% (

0.2)

84.4% (

-0.19)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

0.21)

28.29% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99% (

0.27)

64.01% (

-0.27)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.47% (

0.13)

44.53% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.44% (

0.11)

80.56% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Penarol 47.01%

Danubio 23.83%

Draw 29.13%

Penarol	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 15.9% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.5% Total : 47.01%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.13%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.83%