Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15

May 13, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 1
Wanderers

Rodriguez (15' pen.)
Hernandez (26'), Menosse (71'), Arezo (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fonseca (68')
Fonseca (36'), Cerro (57'), Fonseca (71')
Cerro (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Racing 0-2 Penarol
Tuesday, May 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 0-3 Fenix
Saturday, May 6 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
48.42% ( 0.28)	27.73% ( -0.1)	23.84% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 43.15% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.55% (

0.19)

61.45% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.67% (

0.14)

81.33% (

-0.14)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

0.22)

25.57% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

0.3)

60.44% (

-0.31)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.97% (

-0.06)

42.02% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54% (

-0.05)

78.45% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Penarol 48.42%

Montevideo Wanderers 23.84%

Draw 27.73%

Penarol	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 48.42%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.84%