Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
69.99% ( 0.02)	18.82% ( 0.02)	11.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29% (

-0.21)

46.71% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.03% (

-0.2)

68.97% (

0.2)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.85% (

-0.06)

12.15% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.24% (

-0.12)

37.76% (

0.11)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.44% (

-0.22)

49.55% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.65% (

-0.15)

84.34% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Bala Town 69.99%

Pontypridd Town AFC 11.18%

Draw 18.82%

Bala Town	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
2-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 69.99%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.82%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 11.18%