Welsh Premier League
May 18, 2024 at 2.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 1Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
16.27% ( -0.17) | 19.75% ( 0.03) | 63.97% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.66% ( -0.48) | 39.34% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% ( -0.5) | 61.68% ( 0.5) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.69% ( -0.5) | 37.31% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.9% ( -0.5) | 74.09% ( 0.5) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.1) | 11.65% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% ( -0.22) | 36.69% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 16.27%
Pen-y-Bont 63.97%
Draw 19.75%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.27% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.75% | 0-2 @ 10.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.02% Total : 63.97% |
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
2-4
Pen-y-Bont
Venables (7', 64', 90+1'), Jefferies (25')
Jones (10'), Reffell (65')
Jones (10'), Reffell (65')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Caernarfon
Richard Williams (31'), Mooney (90+8')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')
Hughes (45')
Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
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