Cardiff MU

2 - 1

Newtown

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.