Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12

Oct 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Bala Town

Kenny (57')
Edwards (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abadaki (14')
Abadaki (31'), Arsan (59'), Malkin (73'), Malkin (73'), Smith (90+3')
Malkin (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bala Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Bala Town
55.32% ( -0.28)	23.06% ( 0.18)	21.61% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

-0.66)

45.99% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.7% (

-0.63)

68.29% (

0.62)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.52% (

-0.33)

16.48% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.8% (

-0.6)

46.19% (

0.6)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

-0.27)

35.44% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

-0.29)

72.2% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 55.32%

Bala Town 21.61%

Draw 23.06%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Bala Town
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.61%