Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5

Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Roberts (63'), Walker (77'), Ismail (87'), Hughes (90+3')
Roberts (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Owen (59')
Harling (51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
37.17% ( -1.09)	26.67% ( 0.27)	36.15% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

-1.11)

53.03% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

-0.95)

74.62% (

0.95)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

-1.14)

27.6% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

-1.5)

63.13% (

1.49)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

-0.04)

28.2% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09% (

-0.05)

63.9% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 37.17%

Pen-y-Bont 36.15%

Draw 26.67%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.15%