After producing an entertaining first leg, we think that the two sides will conjure up more goals in Sunday's return leg, but with Lyon renowned for their success in this competition, we think that the record winners will hold PSG to a draw and seal their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Lyon Women
37.2% ( -0.7)	24.14% ( 0.42)	38.66% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 60.92% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.43% (

-2.11)

41.57% (

2.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.03% (

-2.17)

63.97% (

2.17)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-1.29)

22.31% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

-1.98)

55.78% (

1.98)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42% (

-0.79)

21.58% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.33% (

-1.22)

54.67% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Women 37.2%

Lyon Women 38.66%

Draw 24.14%

Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Lyon Women
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.2%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.66%