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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
5 - 0
Bristol Women

Mead (7', 32'), Powell (34' og.), Russo (59', 74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bristol Women 0-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 24 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Bristol City Women

Arsenal have already beaten Bristol City in the WSL and League Cup this season, and we expect the Gunners to make it a clean sweep by easing to all three points in Sunday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 4-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawBristol City Women
86.59% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 9.24% (-0.064 -0.06) 4.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.41% (0.20400000000001 0.2)26.58% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.04% (0.25899999999999 0.26)46.96% (-0.259 -0.26)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.92% (0.048000000000002 0.05)4.08% (-0.0491 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.88% (0.15300000000001 0.15)17.12% (-0.155 -0.16)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.16% (0.047999999999995 0.05)53.84% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.82% (0.029 0.03)87.17% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 86.58%
    Bristol City Women 4.17%
    Draw 9.24%
Arsenal WomenDrawBristol City Women
3-0 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 9.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 6.14% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.94% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 3.27% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 2.03% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 86.58%
1-1 @ 4.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.24%
0-1 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.17%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Women
1-2
Arsenal Women
Furness (16')
Furness (84'), Murray (90+3')
McCabe (7', 59')
Wubben-Moy (31'), Russo (78')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Bristol Women
0-4
Arsenal Women
Miedema (4', 65'), Van de Donk (45+1'), Mead (63')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
3-1
Bristol Women
Nobbs (42'), Foord (50'), Miedema (86')
Harrison (6')
Mar 22, 2020 3pm
Dec 1, 2019 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
11-1
Bristol Women
Evans (7', 60'), Williamson (10'), Miedema (15', 32', 36', 51', 56', 64'), Nobbs (54'), Mitchell (79')
Daniels (85')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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