Aston Villa

1 - 4

Arsenal Women

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 74.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.13%) and 0-3 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.