World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Argentina1 - 0Paraguay
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Paraguay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolivia 0-3 Argentina
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Argentina 3-0 Paraguay
All eyes will be on whether Lionel Messi is passed fit to feature on Friday, but even if the 36-year-old is not involved, Argentina will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top. Paraguay have frustrated Argentina over the years, but we believe that the world champions have enough quality in their side to pick up maximum points against a goal-shy Albirroja outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.6%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 3.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.96%) and 1-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Argentina | Draw | Paraguay |
85.6% ( -0.73) | 10.95% ( 0.52) | 3.45% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 29.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( -1.3) | 41.14% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% ( -1.33) | 63.54% ( 1.33) |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.07% ( -0.42) | 6.93% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.57% ( -1.13) | 25.42% ( 1.13) |
Paraguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
31.86% ( 0.21) | 68.14% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
5.72% ( 0.08) | 94.28% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Argentina 85.58%
Paraguay 3.45%
Draw 10.95%
Argentina | Draw | Paraguay |
2-0 @ 16.82% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.52% Total : 85.58% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 10.95% | 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 3.45% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Paraguay
Argentina
93.0%Draw
5.3%Paraguay
1.8%57
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Jun 22, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Paraguay
Jun 20, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Paraguay
Jul 1, 2015 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Argentina
6-1
Paraguay
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 12:35:22
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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