World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Australia

Al-Dawsari (65' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	2	4	6
2	Saudi Arabia	2	0	3
3	Russia	2	-1	3
4	Egypt	2	-3	0

Australia

Last Six:

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

We said: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Australia

While Australia have nothing to play for here outside of pride, Saudi Arabia still have the opportunity to win this group, and that should provide plenty of momentum for them. Considering how dominant the hosts have been throughout their World Cup qualification, they will likely wrap things up in style on Tuesday with another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Australia
37.31%	24.72%	37.97%

Both teams to score 58.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67%

44.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29%

66.7%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5%

23.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47%

57.52%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85%

23.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97%

57.02%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 37.31%

Australia 37.97%

Draw 24.71%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.31%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.97%