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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Malatya Inonu Stadium

Yeni M'spor
0 - 2
Kasimpasa

FT(HT: 0-0)
Muleka (71'), Engin (74')

Preview: Yeni Malatyaspor vs. Kasimpasa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Yeni Malatyaspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Kasimpasa will be aiming to clinch a third consecutive victory when they face Yeni Malatyaspor in the Super Lig on Saturday.

The hosts, meanwhile, are rock bottom of the league table, with their five-season stay in the top flight set to come to an end.


Match preview

With just nine matches left to play, Yeni Malatyaspor find themselves 15 points adrift of safety following a disappointing campaign.

Although they seem destined to drop down to the second tier, the bottom-placed side will want to put up a fight until it is mathematically impossible to remain in the Super Lig.

A first-half strike from Altay's Marco Paixao saw them slump to a 1-0 defeat in their last outing, but they do have the chance to claim consecutive home victories on Saturday.

In fact, the 1-0 victory that they picked up against Adana Demirspor in their most recent home fixture represents the only win that Yeni Malatyaspor have collected in their last 16 games in all competitions.

Cihat Arslan's side can take encouragement from their head-to-head home record against Kasimpasa, as Yeni Malatyaspor have lost just once in their last four home meetings against Friday's opponents.

As for Kasimpasa, they sit just outside of the relegation zone, but back-to-back victories has helped them establish a six-point cushion over the bottom four.

After winning 3-2 away against Goztepe, Kasimpasa played host to Caykur Rizespor in another contest that produced goals.

Awer Mabil gave Kasimpasa the lead in the 27th minute, and the encounter did not produce another goal until the 65th minute when the encounter truly came to life.

Selim Ay equalised for the visitors before Umut Bozok and Mamadou Fall struck for the hosts to seal a 3-1 victory that could prove crucial in their fight against the drop.

That result also ensured that Kasimpasa have lost just two games in their last 12 league matches and it has been a run of form that has seen them rise from the bottom of the standings to a side that now sit in 15th place.

A clinical frontline has been the main factor in their recent success, with Friday's visitors scoring at least two goals in nine of their previous 11 Super Lig contests.

Yeni Malatyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Kasimpasa form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Nuri Fatih Aydin and Stephen Mallan will both miss the encounter for the hosts due to their respective injury issues.

Karim Hafez, meanwhile, will serve a one-match suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards, which could result in Oussama Haddadi moving over to left-back.

If Haddadi does indeed move to full-back then Baris Basdas is expected to partner Gaston Campi in the centre of defence.

As for the visitors, they are likely to be without Jeffrey Bruma and Sakib Aytac with the pair struggling with injury issues.

Tarkan Serbest is suspended for Saturday's contest due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Despite coming on to score in the 3-1 win over Caykur Rizespor, Bozok may once again have to settle for a place on the bench.

Yeni Malatyaspor possible starting lineup:
Ozbir; Zeffane, Basdas, Campi, Haddadi, Eskihellac, Ozer, Okechukwu, Nshimirimana, Chouiar; Dicko

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Taskiran; Hadergonaj, Donk, Spajic, Ben Ouanes; Hajradinovic, Haspolat, Eysseric; Fall, Mabil, Muleka


SM words green background

We say: Yeni Malatyaspor 0-2 Kasimpasa

Kasimpasa can claim a league double over their hosts with a victory on Saturday, and we think they will do just that when they come up against a Yeni Malatyaspor who are propping up the Super Lig table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Yeni M'spor vs Kasimpasa

Yeni Malatyaspor
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Kasimpasa
57.1%
7
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