You can contain them for a little while, but eventually, Al-Hilal tend to break through, and in leg two, the Saudis have the luxury of a two-goal cushion, which could make them dangerous on the counter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Sepahan win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Sepahan
61.92% ( -1.03)	19.94% ( 0.44)	18.13% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.23% (

-1.03)

36.77% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.06% (

-1.13)

58.94% (

1.13)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.57% (

-0.57)

11.43% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.77% (

-1.26)

36.22% (

1.26)

Sepahan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

0.02)

33.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

0.02)

70.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 61.92%

Sepahan 18.13%

Draw 19.94%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Sepahan
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.53% Total : 61.92%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.94%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.13%