Although Navbahor showed a lot of discipline in the opening leg, we expect the Saudis to be the aggressors throughout this match and eventually find a breakthrough, though it should be a close game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Navbahor
52.61% ( -0.22)	23.98% ( -0.02)	23.41% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

0.32)

47.91% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

0.29)

70.09% (

-0.29)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

0.03)

18.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

0.06)

49.16% (

-0.06)

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.15% (

0.39)

34.84% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

0.41)

71.58% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 52.6%

Navbahor 23.41%

Draw 23.97%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Navbahor
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.6%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.41%